28.2.06

L.A. Prop Bets, Groovy Sunsets, and Fear the Jaywa...

L.A. Prop Bets, Groovy Sunsets, and Fear the Jaywalker
"Who's the fucking nihilist here?! What are you, a bunch of fuckin' crybabies?" - Walter Sobchak, The Big Lebowski
An hour ago I got nailed by a L.A. motorcycle cop for jaywalking. He gave me a ticket. Change100 got one too. She was super pissed and went on ticket tilt. She doesn't deal with law enforcement types too well. Here's what went down... We were going to walk to the diner two blocks away. As soon as Change100 stepped outside her apartment she said, "It's too cold. Let's drive."

It was 58 degrees.

That's freezing by LA standards. Bastards. Alas, we drove and found parking on the opposite side of Pico Blvd. We jaywalked to the other side and as soon as we reached the sidewalk, a motorcycle cop drove up and told us to stop.

"Can I see some identification," he said as he took off his mirrored sunglasses at 8:10pm. "And sir, your zipper is down."

He pointed to my crotch. He was correct. My fly was down. The pair of jeans I wore had a zipper flaw. I liked them too much to throw them out, so I accepted the fact that my zipper would be down a majority of the time.

Change100 launched into a rant and I gave her a look like, "Calm down."

She was so angry she couldn't look at the cop. She turned her back as he slowly wrote us out citations.

"Ma'am," he said to Change100, "200 pedestrians die on Pico Blvd. every year. And over a thousand go to the hospital. You have to cross at designated cross walks."

I heard her mutter "Total bullshit," as she signed the ticket.

When the cop asked me to sign I asked, "No slack for tourists?"

"Nope. Same thing I told her. Do you want me to repeat my speech?"

I signed my name and put a smiley face next to it. That was my first autograph since I arrived in LA.

The cop who pinched us had an Irish last name. If that went down in NYC, the cop would have let my McCatholic ass off with a warning. Wait.... NYC cops are too busy chasing after terrorists to give pedestrian tickets for jaywalking. You would think that an internet celebrity like myself would be able to get off with a warning... but in LA the cops love arresting celebrities, especially ones that try to pick up tranny hookers on Sunset Blvd.

Change100 stormed off towards the diner. She flung the doors open and sat down in a booth. She slammed her fists on the table and screamed, "I'm too angry to even talk about this."

Her tilt lasted about ten minutes. Take a peek of her account of the events. Here's what she had to say:
"I couldn't fucking believe it. Do I have like, some fucking overdraft on my karmic account? Isn't getting unceremoniously sacked from my job bad enough for one month? And now this fucking bullshit. Fucking JAYWALKING! IN LA!! Unbelievable. I was steaming so hard I couldn't even LOOK at the douchebag fuckface cop as he scribbled away on his little cop notepad so I turned and leaned against a parking meter, facing the complete opposite direction. My blood pressure rose and my heart pounded as I tried to keep myself from screaming obscenities and finding the closest sharp object available and stabbing him in the testicles. Fucking cops."
The most fucked up thing about the situation... the same cop who gave us jaywalking tickets had just eaten at the diner. The owner's daughter said she gave the cop 50% off his tab too.

I kept laughing the entire time at the diner, while Change100 steamed over it during our meal. I was supposed to leave California today and fly back to NYC. I decided to stick around for two more days to play poker, take photos, and work on a freelance assignment.

I guess I could be upset about the situation. The way I see it, after all the debauchery I endured in L.A., jaywalking was by far the least illegal thing I did within the city limits. I avoided a feline homicide charge and I'm more than thrilled to be able to leave this town without a venereal disease or a B class felony.

Moving on...

I found myself at the brink of degeneracy in media row after partaking in nonstop prop bets with BJ during the LA Poker Classic and the WPT Invitational. BJ finally settled the score after a horrendous 2005 WSOP where he didn't win one pop bet during the first month. BJ finally came through when he picked Doyle Brunson on the night he picked up his 10th WSOP bracelet. He even got Texas Dolly to sign the $1 bill that he won from me. I took it on the chin in a few prop bets last week, especially the last one we did. I picked Jesse Jones a last longer against BJ's pick Allen Kessler and promptly lost.

Spaceman
and I were doing prop bets involving my ringing cell phone. Before I'd answer it, I'd let him pick the sex of the caller... male or female. He ended up coming out on top overall in those wagers. "Easiest money I made in a long time," boasted Spaceman.

The biggest win I had in the past few weeks was Wil Wheaton lasting longer than Gus Hansen at the WPT Invitational. The Norwegians Nihilists gave me 6-1 odds as they went with a fellow Scandi. I had faith in Wheaton and he proved that he was prop-bet worthy. With that clutch win, I nearly wiped out my entire Torino Olympics loses.

I came out ahead in a prop bet involving overall medals. The Americans edged out the Norwegians 25-19 in medals and my reputation has been salvaged for now. I am no longer a laughing stock in Norway.

On Monday, I played a tourney on Full Tilt with Nickerson. We had a last longer. If I won, he had to buy me In & Out Burger. If he won, I had to babysit his kids. Just kidding... he wanted In & Out Burger too. Although, I just pitched a screenplay to Revolution Films called "Daddy Daycare 2" which stars Daddy (playing himself) as a former washed up baseball player who opened up day care business out of his house. Hijinks ensue. I have to cut out the donkey scene if I want the film to have a PG-13 rating.

Over the weekend, I played Change100 a series of heads up matches. We'd play for various things including who picked up the tab for lunch or dinner. I lost a best-of-three series. She flopped the nuts on one hand and I walked right into it, trying to bluff-steal on the turn with 9-7o. I didn't mind losing dinner bets because I won the big one where she had to reveal what TV show she appeared on in the 1990s. Our favorite junkgrabber and jaywalker has a dirty secret.... she used to be a former child actor before she became a Hollyweird film exec.

We also did various Roshambo for things like lunch tabs and who had to drive. She claimed that she knew how to get inside my head. But she was wrong because I used the Annie Duke method of randomization for my Roshambo tosses. That way I can't go on tilt. I might have to change that up because it's not working.

Change100 and I had a few props regarding Joe Speaker's first marriage. We did not know any of the details and we wagered on the length of his first union. We also had a bet on how many years were in between his first and second marriage. We ended up chopping. I guessed right that the time in between marriages was longer than 4 years. And Change100 won the length of the first marriage. She had the under which was set at 30 months. We're awful and should be shot. At least we had a fun time drinking with Joe Speaker and his cousin at 14 Below in Santa Moncia. We endured a horrible Journey cover band with the lead singer who reminded me of Roseanne Barr on trucker's speed.

Last month, I made a prop bet with Change100 over whether or not her actor roommate Showcase would get a blowjob or not. You see, he met a nice Jewish girl through J-Date. He was on the verge of his second date and Change100 was convinced that the chemistry was not there. I had faith in him and bet that he would close the deal and end date two with a beejer. I was wrong. He didn't close the deal and I lost.

Showcase met a woman Sunday night during dinner. I'll be writing up the encounter over at Tao of Pauly. Take a peek at LA Stories: Getting Showcase Laid. Anyway, Change100 and I had random props over whether he was going to have sex with the drunk girl (I lost) or whether she was going to leave before sun up or spend the night. She left before sunrise. We also had a bet on the O/U on how many text messgaes/voicemail she'd leave for Showcase throughout the day.

Oh and the psycho chick that Showcase bedded, she sent him 12 text messages within 30 hours of their sexual encounter. Yikes.


Before I go, I'll mention some random poker news. I'm going to end the month of February up playing poker! My current winning streak ended the slide of three consecutive losing months. That's enough to put me in a very good mood. Plus I went up to Zuma Beach in Malibu on Tuesday afternoon and took a sassy photograph of the sunset (see above photo). I'll post more later.

Corrupt cops, pothead actors, dead cats, prop bets, and smog enhanced sunsets... L.A. is growing on me.

* * * * *

Don't forget to checkout Jason Spaceman's coverage of the WPT Bay 101 for Bluff Magazine. He's doing an amazing job. See for yourself.

26.2.06

New Banner

Since Maudie helped redesign Pauly's Truckin' banner, I decided to play around with a few ideas of my own. Check out my new site banner above. Let me know if you think it sucks!! I might be tweeking it as time goes on. I just wanted to see what this one looks like for a few days.

Online Poker Gambling Sees Tremendous Growth

Online poker gambling at casinos and poker rooms is one of the fastest growing forms of wagering on the Internet. Fueled by the televised tournaments seen on Travel Channel's World Poker Tour, ESPN with the 2004 World Series of Poker (WSOP), and Bravo's Celebrity Poker, the popularity of the game is seen everywhere. A huge number of the qualifiers for the 2004 WSOP gained their entries from playing in online satellite tournaments for a fraction of the large entry fees paid by others. Look for more players to enter 2005 world series of poker satellite tournaments for this reason.

Tournaments at land based casinos are becoming so popular that people are being turned away, with waits at some lasting two hours to get a table on the weekends. Smaller land based casinos are promoting poker tournaments in order to capitalize on the growing trend of the game. Even though the cut for the house is pretty slim, they report increasing revenues by the number of patrons who play other games, buy drinks and food. It is also allowing them to attract new players which are mostly twentysomethings and women which expands their customer base.

It seems that most of the upcoming poker stars are a lot younger than in the past. This is because the years of experience formally gained at the brick and mortar poker rooms is compressed into months when playing online. College students watching Texas Hold'Em poker on TV have taken to playing at crowded tables on campus or online where they can take advantage of the 24/7 availability of other players when they can. One college student stated that "Being able to lie (bluff) and get away with it is exciting when you know the hand you have is inferior to the one your opponents have." Plus being able to play for free is also a nice way to learn the game which is a feature that most poker rooms on the Net offer.

Learning the game is also becoming easier with free lessons at brick and mortar casinos and also The Travel Channel featuring review and analysis of poker hands on Wednesdays through it's WPT Poker Corner. Viewers will learn more in-depth about what they did not see. Discussions will go over the tells, the big mistakes, and the bluffing made by others players. This is an excellent way to learn how to improve one's game.

With the huge piles of money that people can win, more and more are getting into the game of poker. The 2005 WSOP championship for next year will boast a $6,000,000 first place prize and anyone making the final table will be a millionaire. The 2004 WSOP winner turned a $160 buy-in satellite shootout into a massive $5,000,000 check and so many endorsements he quit his job as an patent attorney. Visit our sister site to learn more about the 2005 World Series of Poker .

25.2.06

Suckout on Luekemia I will be playing in a tourna...

Suckout on Luekemia

I will be playing in a tournament on Full Tilt on Sunday afternoon. It's for a worthy cause called Suckout on Luekemia. A member of the Full Tilt Forum named Jill was diagnosed with Leukemia. Her friends put together a private tournament at Full Tilt to raise money for Jill. The private tournament is a $10+$16 NL tourney, with $15 of the fee going to the fundraiser. Visit this link this link for more details on the Suckout on Leukemia tournament. I hope all of you can play. I'll be there are so are a few pros such as Erik Seidel and Andy Bloch and even SirWaffle is playing!
What: Suckout on Luekemia (check under Private tourney tab)
When: Sun, Feb 26th @ 17:00 EST
Where: Full Tilt
How Much: $10 + 16
Password: playforjill
It's at 2pm West Coast or 5pm Waffle time. I hope I can get up early enough to play.

23.2.06

slip sliding away...

Lost my weekend profits on TWO hands. Two hands I am PROUD of. How often does that happen?

I play AA so well, I get a guy betting into me with KJ when the flop is K98. He thinks he is ahead! On the turn a 3 comes and he is still betting. I have 80% of his money in the pot and the river is a Jack. He moves all-in for his last 20%. It was a surreal moment, because just before the turn I thought of the one card I did NOT want to see, the jack. I make the crying call to see KJ. "I think I have to call" I said. He kept asking me what I meant. He NEVER knew, even after the showdown, that he was behind.

The second hand was a boat running into quads. I have always said, I will not lay down for the monster that is quads. If someone has it, I am going to pay it off. That is a profitable philosophy. But it did not work out today.

22.2.06

Zone4Play Launches Unique Poker Game

Zone4Play, Inc. ("Zone4Play" or the "Company"), a leading developer of interactive software and technology for the betting and gaming industry, today announced the launch of a new and unique poker game - Face-Up Hold'em - for multiple e-gaming platforms.

The online poker market has grown to an industry that generated $4 billion in revenues in 2005. The new patent-pending solution, "Face-Up Hold'em, based on the popular Texas Hold'em Poker, but with a fixed odds twist, will be available on all the interactive platforms in the UK, including mobile, Internet, interactive TV and in particular participation TV.

The game will be available by the end of Q2 2006 to 10 million households in the UK, enabling for the first time TV viewers (interactive and broadcast) to play fixed odds poker. In addition, it will enable TV viewers to participate in poker TV shows by betting during each hand on the results of the game.

"We are excited about the introduction of this new game, which strengthens Zone4Play's growing e-gaming portfolio, as market demand is proving to be higher than ever," said Shimon Citron, CEO of Zone4Play. "We are constantly looking to expand our selection of e-gaming solutions - to provide maximum client satisfaction for our partners."

18.2.06

There are a few reasons luck's not on your side

There's a quote I once heard that I thought was genius: "Poker is a lot like sex. Everybody thinks they are great at it, but most people don't really know what they're doing."

Because of that truth, people generally blame their losing streaks on bad luck. Well, while bad luck can certainly play a role, there might just be other pressing factors for your losing.

Here are the top five reasons:

• Bad luck — If this is your worst problem, then, ironically, you're in luck! Why? Poker is a game where luck does play a part in how well you do, and bad luck could be the reason you're losing.

However, the longer you play poker, smartly, the less likely bad luck will continue as a factor that brings you down. Like all poker players, you have to ride out bad-luck streaks. Just don't be foolish and create your own bad luck.

Losing a few sessions in a row can easily be chalked up to bad luck, but if you're habitually losing after months and months of play, chances are bad luck is not really the key factor.

Here's a suggestion: Chart your results by the hour. See how you're doing after 500 to 1,000 hours of play before throwing in the towel. If you're still showing a loss after that much play, well, you just might have a problem that has nothing to do with luck.

• Too predictable — This is especially true if you were once a winning player against the same opponents and are now losing to them on a regular basis. If you have a straightforward approach to the game, it could be that your opponents are on to you. Solution: Elevate your game by adding some deceptive plays to your arsenal.

For example, if your opponents have caught on to the fact that you simply never bluff, maybe it's time that you come out of your shell and start making some creative moves.

• Playing in tough games — You could be the fifth-best poker player in the world, but if you're seated at a table with the top four players in the world, well, you're the sucker!

Game selection is as important to your bankroll as how you play the game. Swallow your pride, put your ego in check, and simply ask yourself this tough question: Are the guys that I play with better than me? If the answer is yes, you need to find a new game against lesser-skilled competitors.

• Lack of fundamentals — This is a common reason for losing. But there is some good news: Learning poker fundamentals is as easy as picking up a few great books and working on expanding your knowledge. Hey, it certainly couldn't hurt.

If you don't have a solid foundation for making poker decisions, you'll always be a step behind. Learn how to play the game the right way by focusing on the basics, and when you get those down, add the elements of your own style to the mix.

And the No. 1 reason you're losing at poker:

• Playing on tilt — The most significant factor in your overall results is how you handle yourself when you get unlucky. Many players blow a gasket, lose their cool, and their bankrolls soon follow.

Taking a bad beat or two is inevitable. The difference between long-term winners and losers is how bad luck affects their play over the course of the session.

You never want to chase your money. You also don't want to lose your patience by playing hands you know you shouldn't be playing. If you simply can't handle the stress related to bad beats, then do yourself a favor and quit before things turn ugly.

Remember, there's always tomorrow. Poker isn't going anywhere.

17.2.06

Better late than not at all







Now
blogging
live

from the
LA PokerClassic

Commerce Casino



11.2.06

River Belle Partners with Poker Night Live Canada

River Belle, one of the most recognized and trusted online entertainment brands in the world, announced today that it has partnered with Poker Night Live Canada to bring exciting poker activities to poker enthusiasts in Canada. The program will be broadcast daily by CGTV, a Canadian cable channel specializing in gaming entertainment, on Rogers Digital Cable channel 228. During Thursday and Saturday broadcasts, players will compete on the River Belle branded playing felt.

Riding on the success of the UK version, Poker Night Live will televise a virtual poker table with participating online players. Commentary will be provided by two avid poker players with tournament experience. The broadcast allows viewers the opportunity to watch how online poker is played while practicing their skills. Additionally, Canadian poker players now have a live platform to exhibit their poker talent through Poker Night Live Canada and River Belle - the "TV Tables" can be accessed through the River Belle Online Poker software, which is available to download at RiverBelle.com.

River Belle recently launched a new and innovative online poker room complete with Texas Hold'em, Omaha Hi/Low, 5-Card Stud and 7-Card Stud, all available with a wide range of table limits. River Belle Online Poker provides players the unique opportunity to create their own private tables and replicate weekly poker nights with good friends at any time. Features also allow players to pre-select their seats, locate a specific player, or search for their favorite table. More advanced players can play at ten tables at once while watching each game via the "Mini View" feature. River Belle Online Poker also offers free poker school for learning the skills and rules of each game.

Poker Night Live will give online players the rare opportunity to showcase their poker skills on live television," said Tim Johnson, Chairman of Carmen Media Group, owners of Belle Rock Entertainment. "River Belle is the ultimate entertainment portal and we are very excited to share it with the Canadian market.

10.2.06

the thinking mans game

Wanna feel smart, then watch me be stupid and feel superior.

I am playing in a 50 person tournament and we are down to about 18. I have an avg stack, but we are at shorthanded tables. I find myself playing 6 handed. I am alternating aggressive and tight, because two others are being aggressive also. Then I get JJ under the gun. I get cute and limp. Only the BB calls (checks). Then flop is A66

I know he is aggressive, but throws me when he makes a 1.5 times pot bet. I notice he only has another .35 left after that, so he is committed. Why? My logic is that he has an Ace with a weak kicker and because of that I fold.

But now I have lots of time to think about it. And think about it. and think about it. And then realize I made a BIG mistake. First of all, I played like am amateur crane. Stuck my neck out and withdrew at the first sign of resistance. But secondly, I failed to review "my story". "My story" is what the other player must conclude about your hand based on how you played it to this point. My story on this hand was a SMALL pocket pair. I have a BIG pocket pair. If you are going to get cute with this hand, then you need to follow through. I did not. Instead I played the hand exactly like it WAS a small pair, like an idiot I might add.

At the end of the night I asked him about the hand. "10 10" he said proudly, "I knew you didn't have and Ace and could not call the bet." Well, he was half right.

"Learning all da'time" -Benny Hill (as a sex crazed foreigner pretending to not understand his obviosuly perverse actions)

8.2.06

What's wrong with PRESSURE in PLO?

I got into an interesting argument, er discussion, yesterday on a very interesting PLO hand. She said the hero played too agressive with a non-nut hand in low stakes PLO. I totally disagreed. But, she had a very good viewpoint and is more experienced in PLO than I am. But I still dont see it...

Omaha Pot Limit ($0.10/$0.25) [low stakes CASH game]
Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: ($28.20 in chips)
Seat 2: HERO ($23.90 in chips)
Seat 3: deabter #1 ($21.65 in chips)
Seat 4: ($9.50 in chips)
Seat 5: Columbo777 (debater #2) ($19.50 in chips)
Seat 6: ($4.25 in chips)
Seat 7: ($19.45 in chips)
Seat 8: ($30 in chips)
Seat 9: ($26 in chips)
HERO: posts big blind $0.25
seat 3: calls $0.25
seat4 $0.25
seat 5 calls $0.25
Seat 6: folds
seat 7: calls $0.25
seat 8: folds
seat 9: folds
SB: calls $0.15
HERO in BB: checks
So far, pretty typical.

*** FLOP *** [Tc 7c 9c]
SB: checks
HERO: bets $1.45
debater #1: folds
Columbo777 said, "hmmm". I actually typed this (which is bad form in the middle of the hand unless its my turn to act. I was NEXT to act, and hit ENTER to soon. oops) Our HERO is building a pot on a flush board. There is no way he does this with a set, he OBVIOUSLY has a made flush. In Omaha, the tight play Ace high flushes, the aggresive will play K high flushes.

seat 4: raises $1.45 to $2.90 <= but look at this. What does HE have then? It SHOULD be yet another flush. But only one can be a nut flush.

Columbo777: folds
seat 7: folds
Columbo777 said, "oh" <= I know on the re-raise that this hand was going to war.
SB: folds
HERO: raises $7.25 to $10.15 <= this is heads up now, and looks like a battle of flushes. But what if our caller just is out of his league? Maybe he flopped a straight and thought he could get a lame flush to fold?

Seat 4: calls $6.35 and is all-in

Now, let suppose our Hero has the Ace flush. Then this is just a plain old PLO hand where someone called off their stack without understanding the game. Right? Or is it that simple?
IF Seat 4 is willing to call off his stack with a non-but hand, then isnt our HERO justified in making this play with a NON-nut KING flush? The other play would have to have to only hand that can beat this one, or he is CHASING and we are getting his money in before he realizes how far behind he is. This is my FAVORITE part of Omaha, catching a playing think they have outs, when they really dont. I mean, what could be seat 4's redraw here? He would have to have trips or 2 pair, in which case, he is a dog.

*** TURN *** [Tc 7c 9c] [5d]
*** RIVER *** [Tc 7c 9c 5d] [Ah]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
HERO: shows [8c Kc 5s Ad] (a flush, King high)
Seat 4: mucks hand (WE CAN ONLY GUESS)
Columbo777 said, "nh"
HERO collected $19.05 from pot
Debater #1 said, "EIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIAAAAAAAAAAAH"

Now debater #1 states that our Hero made a mistake building a big pot with a K flush. So my point is this: Why assume that there is a AcXc out there? So our hero has his real decision on the post flop re-raise. It is at this point that he must decide if he is going to see the showdown or not. He decides yes (there is no real folding equity here, he is way ahead or way behind). Calling would be pointless as you are not going to call down a hand in PLO. Its all about pot building. If you call, what are you going to do on the turn? Check? And if he bets, you are going to call again?

I certainly believe that you give yourself additional chances to get away from the hand if you call and then see what he does on the turn. But you are out of position and this has to be cause for concern. So, he makes the read that he is ahead and crushes the chaser.

What would debater #1 won with the hand? Or might they have folded if seat 4 made a pot size bet on the turn? Who knows. But I think pushing with a K flush in PLO is right, if the situation presents itself. And I saw this as one of those moments. What do you think?

4.2.06

A ROOKIE has bluffed his way into the tournament with £5 MILLION up for grabs

Greenock card shark Craig McFarlane will take his seat for the World Series of Poker — despite never having played on a real table before.

The 28-year-old is hooked on the online poker craze and after beating 800 others he is heading for the world's gambling capital Las Vegas.

Hydraulics engineer Craig, of Brisbane Street, said: "I have only been playing the game for five months and I have never played in a casino before. So I’ll need to get to the casino and get practising my poker face."

He will be playing Texan Hold'em, a spin-off of the original game that has sparked a worldwide craze.

Craig first played the game with friends on a Friday night and started going online.

So far he has gambled with a pot of £300, but now he is raising the stakes.

After entering a competition to win a place in the qualifers, he had a play-off with 800 other hopefuls and his second place finish sent him packing to Vegas.

His $6,000 entry fee is now paid as well as two flights to the super city.

The World Series of Poker starts in August and attracts millions of television viewers worldwide. First-time player Craig is following in the footsteps of icons such as champion player Daniel Negreanu.

But does he have any tricks up his sleeves when the chips are down?

Craig said: "You see them wearing sunglasses and baseball caps but I won't be doing that. I will just try not to give it away if I have a good hand.

"It is obviously going to be a different kind of atmosphere from playing on the computer."

He added: "I might take my mp3 player to shut out the noise and help me concentrate."

2.2.06

A Wango, Ze Tango

One of the many hellish cries from Detroit's own Ted Nugent. And it describes how I feel playing this new Hyper-Aggressive style.

PokerStars Tournament
No Limit Hold'emBuy-In: $1.00/$0.10
1814 playersTotal Prize Pool: $1814.00
Dear Columbo777, You finished the tournament in 67th place.
You earned 57.08 tournament leader points in this tournament.

PokerStars Tournament
No Limit Hold'emBuy-In: $0.10
2494 players
Dear Columbo777, You finished the tournament in 86th place.
You earned 29.30 tournament leader points in this tournament.

I have played five tournaments this week using this style. Five tournaments, 4 cashes. In ALL FIVE, I was eventually knocked out by pocket aces. ALL FIVE. The last one was:

I am EP and raise 3xBB with TT. I get a raise from a LP player and it folds around to me again. I think for a while and decide that since I am just over average (and so is he) that if I hit a set, I will take over this tournament. The flop is QdTd3d. A set on a dangerous board. Now, if you put him on a pair or AK, statistically we put him on 0-1 diamonds. IF he has AxAd, he is going to push me hard. So, BEFORE I even bet, I have to decide if I am going to take the chance as a 2 to 1 favorite. Well, there really is no choice. IF I want to accumulate chips, doind so as a 2-1 favorite is justified. I push all in and he calls with AxAd. The turn is a diamond.

I also ran KK in AA on a board of T83 rainbow, and ran TP into AA on the other 3 occasions. Now, obvoiusly there are times that a freakin read of the other player is in order. BUT, so many players out there will call off there stack with mid-pair or a draw, its more profitable to IGNORE trying to read an overpair most of the time (for now). But Mark my words, I will get better at seeing the oncoming truck in the tunnel. And I did blow an escape hatch last night when I felt my TP had run into a set.

Stay tuned...